by Conrad Meertins | Sep 2, 2024 | Valuation
In our fast-paced world, everyone craves value—and we want it instantly. But when it comes to your home’s value, quick fixes aren’t always the best solution.
I’ve previously discussed the pros and cons of online calculators, but today, let’s explore three critical reasons why DIY valuations can be risky:
- Failing to Identify the Underlying Problem
- Lack of Access to Comprehensive Data
- Insufficient Analytical Skills and Tools
These three pitfalls are interconnected—missing the underlying problem leads to misinterpreting the data, which then compounds the errors in your valuation. Let’s delve into each of these in more detail.
1. Missing the Underlying Problem
This might sound surprising, but every house has a “problem” that impacts its value—even brand new ones. By “problem,” I’m referring to a valuation question that must be uncovered to determine the true worth of the property.
For instance, I was once asked to appraise a new construction home in a mature neighborhood where no new homes had been built within a half-mile radius for three years. The key question—or problem—was, “How does the lack of recent new construction sales in the area affect this home’s value?”
Identifying the underlying problem is crucial because it shapes the entire valuation approach. Questions like, “When was the last new construction sale in this area?” or “Are there similar new constructions nearby?” become central.
Without pinpointing the problem, a DIY valuation will likely miss the mark, leading to a flawed estimate.
2. Lack of Access to Comprehensive Data
Where do most people turn for home sale data? Sites like Zillow are common, but they often provide incomplete information.
Realtors have access to gold mines like the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) and Property Valuation Administrator (PVA) websites, which offer more extensive data, especially for unique properties like new constructions.
However, simply accessing data isn’t enough; knowing how to extract and interpret it is key. Early in my career, I made the mistake many DIYers make today—relying on a few neighborhood sales to determine value.
But it’s vital to understand the highs and lows of the market area before drawing conclusions. A DIY valuation might overestimate a property’s value, missing critical market trends that indicate the area can only support 80% of the DIY estimated price.
3. Insufficient Analytical Skills and Tools
Data analysis is where many DIY valuations fall short. Imagine trying to assess a neighborhood with 200 recent sales—how do you determine which ones are relevant? Should some sales be excluded? What are the quarterly price trends?
These questions may significantly influence the final value and answering them requires more than just raw data—it requires the right tools and expertise.
Online resources might offer broad figures, like the median sales price for homes in Louisville, but Louisville has over 100 neighborhoods, each with its own unique market. Without the ability to analyze data specific to your home’s market area, a DIY valuation is bound to be inaccurate.
Wrap-up
In summary, DIY home valuations often fall short because they miss critical steps that professional appraisers never overlook. First, they fail to identify the underlying problem that drives the property’s true value. Without pinpointing this, the entire valuation process is compromised from the start.
Second, they lack access to comprehensive data that realtors and appraisers use to make informed decisions.
Lastly, even when data is available, DIYers often don’t have the tools or expertise needed to analyze it properly, leading to inaccurate and potentially costly errors.
As an appraiser, I approach each property with a well-honed process that starts with identifying the key valuation question, gathering and analyzing data from multiple trusted sources, and using advanced tools to ensure every factor is considered.
My 20+ years of experience, coupled with continuous learning and adaptation, allows me to deliver precise, reliable valuations that help you make informed decisions and maximize your property’s value.
If you’re serious about understanding your property’s true worth and making the most informed decisions possible, skip the DIY route. Let me provide you with a comprehensive appraisal that gives you the confidence to move forward without leaving money on the table.
Ready to get started? Contact me today to schedule a professional appraisal and ensure you’re making the best decisions for your property. Your home is one of your most significant investments—let’s make sure you treat it as such.
by Conrad Meertins | Aug 12, 2024 | Valuation
We all obsess over condition—whether it’s the state of our bodies, our cars, or our homes. But when it comes to our homes, does obsession really matter? Sometimes, we get so fixated on the imperfections that we forget the bigger picture, especially when the market conditions take the driver’s seat.
Today, I want to share some observations on how a home’s condition influences its ability to sell, particularly in different market scenarios. By the end, you’ll see how I, as an appraiser, account for condition when preparing reports.
Condition in a Seller’s Market
In a seller’s market, where inventory is low and demand is high, condition still matters, but it’s not always the deal-breaker you might think. Buyers are often so eager to secure a home that they’re willing to overlook flaws and even pay a premium for properties that wouldn’t ordinarily justify such prices.
Why? It all comes down to competition. Think of an auction—when everyone wants the same item, the bidding war pushes prices up, even if the item isn’t perfect. Similarly, in a hot market, buyers are more likely to bid on a home, even if it’s not in pristine condition.
This is where knowing the market environment becomes crucial. If you’re a seller, having a trusted appraiser or realtor who understands the market dynamics can give you a significant edge.
Pro Tip for Realtors: While the market may allow for higher asking prices, be careful not to overestimate. The appraiser still needs to justify the price based on comparable sales, so ensure there are similar homes in the area that have sold for similar prices despite their condition.
Condition in a Buyer’s Market
Now, let’s flip the script. In a buyer’s market—high inventory, low demand—buyers can afford to be picky. This is when condition becomes a critical factor in a home’s saleability. Just to clarify, we’re not in a buyer’s market right now, so don’t get too excited. But if we were, the scenario would be quite different.
Imagine walking into a burger joint where a cheeseburger and a sirloin steak are the same price. Which would you choose? Most would opt for the steak, of course!
In this analogy, the steak represents a home in great condition, while the cheeseburger is a home that needs some work. Both are listed at similar prices, but with no competition, buyers will naturally gravitate toward the better option.
For Sellers: In such a market, if your home is in less-than-perfect condition, be prepared to adjust your asking price to make it more appealing. Remember, when buyers have options, they’re likely to go with the one that offers the best value.
Accounting for Condition in an Appraisal Report
So, how do I, as an appraiser, adjust for condition? Let me walk you through one of my methods. When appraising a property, I start by defining criteria that help me find comparable homes on the market.
For instance, if I’m appraising a 1,000-square-foot, 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch-style home, I’ll look for similar homes that sold within the past year, within a mile of the subject property.
In a densely populated area, this approach should yield around 30 comparable homes. Next, I analyze their condition via the local MLS, assigning each a condition rating (Fair, Average, Avg/Good, Good). Once I have this data, I create a pivot table that gives me the median sale price for each condition category.
Here’s an example of what the data might look like:
|
Condition
|
Median Sale Price
|
| Fair |
$160,000 |
| Average |
$190,000 |
| Avg/Good |
$210,000 |
| Good |
$250,000 |
This table tells me that in this market, buyers are willing to pay $20,000 more for a home in Avg/Good condition compared to one in Average condition, and $60,000 more for a home in Good condition. This is a defensible, market-driven approach to account for condition when setting a list price or producing an appraisal report.
Conclusion
As you can see, condition is important, but the type of market you’re in dictates how important it is. In a seller’s market, it’s less of a factor; in a buyer’s market, it’s crucial. By analyzing similar homes, you can quantify just how much more (or less) someone might pay based on condition.
The bigger the sample size, the more reliable the analysis. I aim to gather at least 30 homes to ensure that my clients receive market-based evidence on how condition affects sales price.
So, the next time you think about a home’s condition, consider the market first. Act with knowledge, consult with a trusted appraiser, and set your price accordingly—don’t let condition become an obstacle to selling your home.
by Conrad Meertins | Apr 22, 2024 | Valuation
In the ever-evolving world of real estate, “sharpening your saw”—a principle popularized by Stephen Covey in his seminal work “The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People”—isn’t just a recommendation, it’s essential.
This habit of self-renewal and continuous improvement is critical in Louisville, where market dynamics shift as quickly as the seasons. Mastering the subtleties of property valuation and market trends can catapult your results from mediocre to stellar.
Whether you’re a seasoned real estate professional or a first-time homeowner, the insights we share here will empower you to not just participate, but excel in the market.
With technological advancements and economic shifts transforming the landscape at breakneck speed, the need to continuously “sharpen your saw” in the realm of real estate has never been more critical.
Dive into this article to discover actionable tips and expert insights that will not only keep you competitive but also turn you into a market sage in Louisville’s vibrant real estate scene.
For Homeowners: Master Your Market for Better Outcomes
Imagine discovering that your home in Louisville could sell for 20% more than you expected. That’s not just good luck; it’s the power of understanding key real estate principles like market areas, comparable sales, and equity.
• Market Areas: Think of your market area in Kentucky as the neighborhood where you live, work, and play. It’s the circle around your home that includes the places you frequent. By understanding the dynamics of your market area, you can better gauge your home’s worth in relation to the local happenings.
• Comparable Sales (Comps): Comps are like your home’s competitors in the market race. They help set the stage for pricing your home accurately—ensuring you don’t overprice and linger on the market, or underprice and miss out on potential gains.
For instance, if homes with updated kitchens in your area are fetching a premium, that might inspire some strategic home improvements on your part.
• Equity: Knowing your home’s equity, which is the difference between its market value and any mortgage balance, could influence significant financial decisions. It’s especially useful if local property values in Louisville are rising, suggesting a good time to tap into that equity for home improvements.
Below is an engaging and educational quiz titled “How Well Do You Know Your Real Estate Terms?” aims to test the homeowner’s knowledge on critical real estate concepts.
For Agents: Elevate Your Services with Advanced Tools and Techniques
Being a real estate agent in Louisville’s market means staying ahead of the curve. It’s not just about selling homes; it’s about providing exceptional service that distinguishes you from the competition. Here’s how you can elevate your practice:
• Refined Comparative Market Analyses (CMAs): As an agent, your ability to conduct precise and insightful CMAs is crucial. This isn’t just about gathering data; it’s about deeply analyzing it to understand subtle market shifts and nuances.
By continuously refining your approach to CMAs, you ensure that your valuations reflect the most current market conditions in Louisville, giving your clients confidence in your pricing strategies.
• Adherence to Standards: Ensuring property measurements comply with the American National Standards Institute (ANSI) standards is not just about accuracy; it’s about trust. When clients know they can rely on your measurements, you build a foundation of credibility that is invaluable in this industry.
Enhancing Data Analysis to Serve You Better
As a real estate appraiser, to further support both homeowners and agents, I’ve advanced my expertise in data analysis through the use of R programming.
This powerful statistical tool allows me to handle, analyze, and visualize extensive datasets with precision—unveiling trends and patterns that inform more accurate market analyses and home appraisals.
Whether you’re determining the most accurate listing price or strategizing on property investments, my enhanced analytical capabilities ensure you receive the most reliable insights. This commitment to leveraging cutting-edge technology in data analysis underpins the superior service I strive to provide all my clients.
Embracing AI to Revolutionize Real Estate Transactions
The integration of AI tools into real estate is transforming the buying and selling experience for homeowners in Louisville.
By providing tailored insights and making processes smoother and more transparent, AI technologies help homeowners make informed decisions with increased confidence.
This advancement in technology ensures that each step of the real estate transaction is optimized for efficiency and clarity.
For agents, learning to utilize these advanced technologies can significantly boost your ability to manage more clients and properties simultaneously without compromising on the quality of service.
AI enables you to deliver more accurate property valuations, proactively anticipate market trends, and provide customized advice. This positions you as tech-forward professionals in a digital-first market.
The adoption of AI in real estate transcends mere technological advancement—it’s about embracing a new standard of excellence and sparking innovation across the industry. This shift not only enhances how you operate but also elevates the overall client experience, making it more efficient and informed.
Continuously Sharpen Your Saw
This post marks the conclusion of our series where we’ve applied Stephen Covey’s seminal work, “7 Habits of Highly Effective People,” to the real estate industry, specifically focusing on how these principles can transform your practice in Louisville.
It’s the continuous pursuit of knowledge and skill enhancement that sets the true leaders apart from the crowd. Whether it involves deepening your understanding of the market, embracing cutting-edge technologies, or refining your data analysis skills, each step you take is crucial.
These advancements are not just about keeping up—they’re about setting new benchmarks in service and expertise. I’d like to extend a heartfelt thank you for joining me on this insightful journey.
Let’s continue to engage with these innovative tools and concepts, commit to our professional growth, and confidently prepare to meet the future challenges of real estate head-on. Together, we will not only adapt but excel in this ever-evolving industry.
by Conrad Meertins | Feb 27, 2024 | Market Trends, Valuation
In the realm of real estate, the synergy between homeowners, realtors, and appraisers is not just beneficial; it’s essential.
Drawing from Stephen Covey’s 6th habit, “Synergize”, we see the immense value in collaborative efforts, especially when it comes to the precise task of home valuation. This principle underscores the strength found in teaming up, highlighting how collective inputs lead to superior outcomes.
The Unique Roles in Real Estate Transactions
Realtors are the navigators of the real estate transaction process, masters at brokering deals to ensure fairness and optimal outcomes for their clients. With an in-depth knowledge of market areas honed over years, they are pivotal in guiding homeowners through the complexities of selling or buying a home.
Appraisers, on the other hand, bring a different set of skills to the table. As valuation experts, they delve into the nitty-gritty details of property value, armed with data and trends to pinpoint the most accurate market value.
Their expertise becomes particularly crucial in fluctuating markets, where accurate valuations can make or break a deal.
The Synergy in Action: A Real-World Scenario
Consider a homeowner eager to sell their property. They believe their home is worth $350,000, while their realtor, considering current market dynamics, suggests a starting point of $300,000.
Here, the realtor could either acquiesce to the homeowner’s wishes or provide detailed market insights to align expectations. This is where an appraiser’s expertise becomes invaluable.
Data and Evidence: Understanding Louisville’s Market
The above graph highlights the trend for homes that sold in MLS Area 1, Area 6, and Area 7. While Area 1 experienced a decline in sales prices with 114 sales, Areas 6 and 7 showed an uptick, boasting 145 and 96 sales, respectively.
The above graph highlights the weekly volume of sales in Louisville, KY. since week one of 2024
The above graph illustrates the median sale price for each MLS area in Louisville, KY over the first 7 weeks of 2024. As can be seen from the above charts, in week 7 of 2024, Louisville’s real estate market presented varied trends across its MLS areas.
The average days on market hovered between 20 and 25, with an overall median sales price of $249,000 across Louisville.
However, disparities exist, with Area 3 approaching a median of $400K and Area 8 nearing $450K. Such granular data is crucial for appraisers and realtors alike to provide homeowners with accurate, realistic valuations.
Leveraging Synergy for Success
When realtors and appraisers collaborate, sharing insights and data, they ensure homeowners receive the most accurate valuation, tailored to the nuanced dynamics of their specific MLS area.
This synergy not only enhances trust among all parties but also secures a smoother transaction process, grounded in realism and mutual understanding.
Embrace Collaboration
For homeowners, understanding the value of your home is more nuanced than it might appear. Engage both your realtor and a local Louisville appraiser in the conversation.
Realtors, don’t hesitate to bolster your market knowledge with insights from appraisers. Appraisers, your expertise is more critical than ever in today’s data-rich age—collaborate with realtors to demystify market trends for homeowners.
The Winning Formula
Synergy, as Stephen Covey highlighted, is about producing a collective outcome that surpasses what individuals could achieve alone.
In Louisville’s diverse real estate landscape, embracing this collaborative spirit ensures that homeowners, realtors, and appraisers alike can navigate the valuation process with confidence, accuracy, and success.
Let’s work together, leveraging our unique strengths for the common goal of transparent, fair, and effective real estate transactions. Go Louisville, where synergy is indeed where it’s at!
by Conrad Meertins | Jan 30, 2024 | Market Trends
In the heart of Louisville, real estate embodies a simple truth: everyone can indeed win. As an appraiser and an optimist who always looks for the silver lining, I see the essence of ‘Win-Win’ deeply ingrained in the process of buying and selling properties.
Just think of the definition of market value—a probable price struck when buyers and sellers, each acting in their own best interest without pressure, reach a harmonious agreement. This is the epitome of ‘Win-Win’ in our world.
But let’s get practical—how does this philosophy translate into the nuts and bolts of property valuation and deciding how to list your home?
It all begins with facts. A quote that I love is as follows: True victory is not in the acquisition alone but in the integrity of the transaction. Misrepresentation benefits no one.
That’s why due diligence is a cornerstone. And for us real estate professionals, our role is crucial—we must anchor our valuations in reality, not fancy. In this context, thinking ‘Win-Win’ is built on understanding the facts of our current real estate landscape in Louisville.
Let’s lay out these facts, not with complexity but with the clarity that empowers. With a clear view of how the market has fared in the first month of 2024, we pave the way for decisions that benefit all.
Active Listings: Climbing Towards More Opportunities
The bar graph illustrates an upward trend in the number of active listings from 820 in the first week to 1163 by the fourth week.
A growing inventory could be indicative of two trends: either sellers are entering the market to take advantage of favorable conditions, or it could suggest a slowdown where listings are staying on the market longer than in previous periods.
It’s important for agents and homeowners to watch this trend closely, as a high inventory level could lead to a more competitive market for sellers, possibly affecting prices and selling strategies.
Cumulative Sales: Assessing the Market’s Lift-Off
The “Cumulative Weekly Sales – 2024” graph for Louisville, KY, depicts an upward trend in property sales over the first month, with sales rising from 62 to 332. While at first glance this seems to indicate a thriving market, we have to be careful.
The trend does not necessarily signify robust growth without a benchmark. Seasonal influences also play a crucial role in real estate activity. So, it’s important to question whether this early-year sales uptick means.
Time will tell but for the sake of home buyers, realtors and appraisers, we hope it’s a sign of greater sales volume than last year.
In this context, a Win-Win scenario materializes when everyone leverages this data coupled with the information about active listings to make decisions that reflect both the present moment and the potential of the market’s future.
MLS Areas: Decoding the Sales Price Variance
The graph showcasing the “Median Sold Price by Area – 2024” in Louisville, KY, for single-family residences reveals varied median prices across nine different areas.
This variance highlights the diverse nature of the housing market within the city, suggesting that certain areas are more in demand or possess attributes that command higher prices—factors such as school districts, proximity to amenities, and neighborhood desirability might be influencing these figures.
Notably, Area 8 stands out with a median price significantly higher than the others, which could indicate a premium neighborhood or area with larger or more luxurious homes. Conversely, Areas 1 exhibits a notably lower median sold price, which could reflect a variety of factors such as older homes, or more modest housing options.
Interesting Fact: Area 1 had the second highest amount of sales volume for the first four weeks of January 2024 with 47 sales. I personally have done more Louisville appraisals in this part of town in the past 30 days. Area 8 came in at #5 with 35 sales. It’s funny how the winner changes when we change the lens that we look through.
Weekly Sales: Unpacking the Market’s Pulse
The “Weekly Sales Counts – 2024” graph for Louisville, KY, presents a roller coaster like sales pattern within the first month of the year. We begin with 62 sales in week one, surge to 115 sales in the second week, then experience a decrease to 93 in week three, before returning to the starting point of 62 sales in week four.
This ebb and flow could reflect a number of underlying market dynamics. The initial rise in sales might indicate a wave of activity often seen at the beginning of a new year, as buyers and sellers enter the market with fresh goals.
Then, week three seems to whisper, “Let’s just slow down and think about this,” possibly due to buyer hesitancy or sellers holding out for better offers. By week four, we’re back to where we started, which could be a sign of market stabilization—or maybe it’s just taking a nap after the excitement of the year end – I think/hope it’s the latter!
The subsequent fall could suggest that this initial enthusiasm is tempered by external factors, such as economic news or interest rate adjustments, which may cause market participants to act more cautiously.
Overall, this data underscores the importance of monitoring weekly market movements closely, as they can provide early indications of shifts in buyer and seller behavior that could impact strategy and decision-making.
Valuations: Crafting a Win-Win Strategy
When it comes to valuations, ‘Think Win-Win’ is about fairness and balance. For realtors and clients in Louisville, here’s how you can put this into practice:
Stay Informed and Educate: The real estate market is dynamic, and being well-informed is key. An educated homeowner is more likely to price their home accurately, and an educated buyer can make a fair offer.
Regular Market Analysis: Keep an eye on how homes are priced in different areas. Realtors should provide homeowners with a regular analysis of how the market is moving, not just in terms of price but also in how long homes stay on the market.
Set Realistic Expectations: Help clients set realistic expectations based on market data. If the market is indicating a decrease in demand, homeowners should be prepared for potentially longer selling times.
Listen and Adapt: A Win-Win situation comes from understanding what the other party values. Listen to buyers and sellers carefully and adapt your strategy to align with their goals.
Prepare for Different Scenarios: The market can shift unexpectedly. Have a plan for different scenarios, whether it’s a sudden uptick in interest rates or a change in buyer sentiment.
Conclusion
In the Louisville market, adopting a ‘Think Win-Win’ approach in real estate isn’t just idealistic, it’s practical. It’s about creating transactions where buyers and sellers walk away satisfied, where the value is fair, and where the community thrives on the integrity of its dealings.
I invite you to reflect on this philosophy and how it has shaped your experiences in real estate. Have you encountered situations where the Win-Win approach turned a negotiation around or created a surprising opportunity? Share your stories and insights. Let’s continue the conversation and learn from each other, so we can all reap the rewards of a market that works for everyone.
